Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Le Havre
25.9%
Draw
14.4%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Le Havre
vs
0.53
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.7%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
10.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).