Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Schalke 04
30.3%
Draw
43.4%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Schalke 04
vs
1.27
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).