Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Brentwood Town
24.5%
Draw
40.9%
Leighton Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Brentwood Town
vs
1.46
Leighton Town
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).