Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Queens Park Rangers
29.5%
Draw
36.0%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.24
Stoke
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).