Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
AVS
28.4%
Draw
51.4%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
AVS
vs
1.44
Nacional
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).