Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Vallecano
31.2%
Draw
26.8%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Vallecano
vs
0.86
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).