Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.0%
Leicester
22.1%
Draw
66.9%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Leicester
vs
2.06
Brighton
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).