Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Belenenses
26.9%
Draw
34.9%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Belenenses
vs
1.14
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).