Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Dijon
24.6%
Draw
22.9%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Dijon
vs
0.85
Caen
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).