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HHT: 00CSV

15 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Getafe
30.6%
Draw
22.6%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Getafe

vs
0.77

Espanol

Markets

BTTS38.4%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).