Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Birmingham
26.4%
Draw
19.4%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Birmingham
vs
0.90
Reading
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).