Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Brentford
26.4%
Draw
27.9%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Brentford
vs
1.33
Fulham
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).