Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Aves
25.0%
Draw
23.7%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Aves
vs
0.92
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).