Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Castellon
23.6%
Draw
27.9%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Castellon
vs
1.24
Granada
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).