Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Lecce
25.9%
Draw
14.2%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Lecce
vs
0.70
Brescia
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).