Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Boston Utd
28.0%
Draw
47.5%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Boston Utd
vs
1.50
Southend
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).