Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
22.9%
Draw
51.4%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.07
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS67.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
0-1
5.4%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).