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HHT: 20CSV

19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.8%
Preston
26.0%
Draw
53.3%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Preston

vs
1.70

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).