Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Rotherham
21.6%
Draw
30.7%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Rotherham
vs
1.35
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).