Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Cambridge
28.1%
Draw
32.7%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cambridge
vs
0.96
Wigan
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).