Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Portsmouth
29.1%
Draw
48.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Portsmouth
vs
1.40
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).