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31 Aug 2024 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Puszcza Niepołomice
26.5%
Draw
47.5%
Korona Kielce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Puszcza Niepołomice

vs
1.63

Korona Kielce

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).