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AHT: 10

09 Feb 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.9%
Zürich
25.9%
Draw
52.2%
St. Gallen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Zürich

vs
1.90

St. Gallen

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).