Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Norwich
23.6%
Draw
16.2%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Norwich
vs
0.87
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).