Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Luton
22.8%
Draw
25.5%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Luton
vs
1.05
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).