Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Altrincham
31.4%
Draw
32.4%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Altrincham
vs
1.06
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).