Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Boavista
30.8%
Draw
31.5%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Boavista
vs
0.88
Tondela
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
0-0
14.7%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).