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11 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Pescara
29.8%
Draw
25.2%
Salernitana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Pescara

vs
0.97

Salernitana

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).