Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Leverkusen
13.6%
Draw
6.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Leverkusen
vs
0.67
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).