Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Niort
18.8%
Draw
65.2%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Niort
vs
2.04
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).