Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.0%
Crowborough Athletic
13.9%
Draw
6.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Crowborough Athletic
vs
0.57
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
3-0
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.6%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.9%
0-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).