Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Malaga
25.2%
Draw
26.8%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Malaga
vs
1.08
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).