Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Juventus
17.6%
Draw
12.2%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Juventus
vs
0.83
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).