Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Cittadella
32.5%
Draw
39.8%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Cittadella
vs
1.16
Livorno
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.8%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).