Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Cadiz
23.7%
Draw
42.1%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Cadiz
vs
1.62
Castellon
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).