Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Newport County
21.2%
Draw
64.9%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Newport County
vs
1.81
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).