Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Getafe
31.7%
Draw
21.6%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Getafe
vs
0.69
Leganes
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).