Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Regensburg
29.2%
Draw
34.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Regensburg
vs
1.25
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).