Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Bolton
30.0%
Draw
40.4%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Bolton
vs
1.02
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).