Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Cagliari
20.2%
Draw
7.4%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Cagliari
vs
0.51
Bari
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
15.3%
3-0
10.9%
1-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).