Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
St Etienne
24.3%
Draw
31.1%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
St Etienne
vs
1.13
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).