Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Malaga
29.5%
Draw
24.5%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Malaga
vs
0.80
Leganes
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).