Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Mansfield
15.9%
Draw
13.9%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Mansfield
vs
1.08
Sutton
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).