Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Lugo
31.8%
Draw
32.4%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Lugo
vs
0.91
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-0
15.0%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).