Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Scunthorpe
22.7%
Draw
56.0%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Scunthorpe
vs
1.73
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).