Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Aris
25.1%
Draw
7.2%
Apollon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Aris
vs
0.36
Apollon
Markets
BTTS24.6%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.0%
2-0
18.0%
0-0
15.1%
3-0
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
6.4%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-2
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).