Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Heidenheim
32.2%
Draw
37.8%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Heidenheim
vs
1.11
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).