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AHT: 12

26 Apr 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Bodrum FK
42.2%
Draw
34.3%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Bodrum FK

vs
0.86

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS31.5%
Over 0.575.4%
Over 1.548.6%
Over 2.520.1%
Over 3.57.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
24.6%
1-1
15.7%
0-1
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
3-0
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).