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22 Nov 2020 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
Trabzonspor
23.0%
Draw
12.2%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

2.26

Trabzonspor

vs
0.94

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).