Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Rochdale
24.3%
Draw
32.5%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Rochdale
vs
1.26
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).